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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-11-01 12:46:10 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Gold is currently testing the upper limit of its medium-term bullish channel at 1,725 suggesting a decline. However, a break of these levels will initiate a more violent bullish channel.
Technical indicators provide sell signals, and until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in the short term.
Gold is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a decline where we recommend a sell on the level of 1,725 with the 1st objective at 1,715 and then at 1,712. A breakthrough of 1,728 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its resistance where we advise a “buy stop” which means to buy gold as soon as it is broken through its resistance of 1,725 with the 1st objective at 1,735 and then at 1,738. A breakthrough of 1,722 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-11-01 12:43:43 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate broke the upper limit of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.6120 leading to the acceleration. A pull back on these levels is expected before a violent bullish trend is initiated.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but approaches overbuy zone supporting the assumption of a pull back in a short term. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its channel, we suggest 2 scenario. The first one is the hypothesis of a pull back where we recommend a buy on the level of 1.6120 with the 1st objective at 1.6180 and then at 1.6200. A breakthrough of 1.6100 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1.6120 with the 1st objective at 1.6060 and then at 1.6040. A breakthrough of 1.6140 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-11-01 12:34:52 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its medium-term bearish channel at 1.2940 suggesting a rebound. However, a break of these levels will reach the lower limit of its channel at 1.2860.
Technical indicators provide sell signals, but until the support is not broken the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands are stabilized showing a more regular volatility.
The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its channel, we suggest 2 scenarios. The first one is the hypothesis of a rebound where we recommend a buy on the level of 1.2940 with the 1st objective at 1.3000 and then at 1.3020. A breakthrough of 1.2920 will invalidate this scenario. The second scenario is a break of its support where we advise a “sell stop” which means to sell the spot rate as soon as it is broken through its support of 1.2940 with the 1st objective at 1.2880 and then at 1.2860. A breakthrough of 1.2960 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY Intraday: The Upside Prevails

2012-11-01 12:31:58 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/JPY continues to range trade. The rate is undermined by selling of yen crosses amid subdued risk appetite (VIX fear gauge rose 4.44% to 18.6) as U.S. stocks closed narrowly mixed overnight (DJIA down 0.08%, S&P up 0.02%) following a two-day shutdown caused by Hurricane Sandy. Investor sentiment dented after smaller-than-expected rise in U.S. Chicago PMI to 49.9 in October (vs. 51.0 forecast) from 49.7 in September, smaller-than-expected 0.4% gain in U.S.3Q employment cost index (vs. + 0.5% forecast), while euro-zone unemployment rate hit record high of 11.6% in September. USD/JPY is also weighed by Japan exporter sales; uncertainties about the U.S. presidential race and how that outcome will affect the country's budget negotiations into year end to avoid the "fiscal cliff" that could throw the U.S. economy back into recession. But USD/JPY losses tempered by demand from Japan importers and investment trusts; joint statement by Japanese government and central bank pledging to work together to end deflation; caution ahead of tomorrow's U.S. non-farm payrolls data.

Data Focus:
12:15 GMT U.S. October ADP national employment report,
12:30 GMT U.S. October 27 weekly jobless claims, U.S. 3Q non-farm productivity & unit labor costs,
14:00 GMT U.S. September construction spending, October ISM manufacturing PMI, October consumer confidence Index
21:00 GMT Fed's Rosengren speech.  

Preference:
Buy above 79.75 with targets 80.15 and 80.35.

Resistance Levels:
R1 - 80.16 (Tuesday's high)
R2 - 80.38 (Friday's four-month high)
R3 - 80.63 (June 25 high)  

Alternative scenario:
Sell below 79.75 .The downside penetration of 79.75 will call for a slide towards 79.65 and 79.5.

Support Levels:
S1 - 79.65
S2 - 79.51 (Wednesday's low)
S3 - 79.27 (Tuesday's low)  

Technical Comment:
The pair remains on the upside and is approaching its resistance. USD/JPY daily chart is mixed as MACD is bullish, but stochastics is bearish near overbought; inside-day-range pattern was completed on Wednesday.

 

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Intraday: The Upside Prevails

2012-11-01 12:31:32 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is trading in a higher range. The rate is underpinned by broadly stronger demand for safe-haven USD as risk appetite wanes. But USD/CHF gains tempered by caution ahead of tomorrow's U.S. non-farm payrolls data.

Preference:
Buy above 0.9295 with 0.9345 and 0.9375 as next targets.

Resistance Levels:
R1 - 0.9345
R2 - 0.9374 (Tuesday's high)
R3 - 0.9381-0.9386 (Monday's high-Friday's high)  

Alternative scenario:
Sell below 0.9295 .The downside breakout of 0.9295 will open the way to 0.9285 and 0.927.

Support Levels:
S1 - 0.9285
S2 - 0.9273 (Wednesday's low)
S3 - 0.9255 (Oct. 23 low)

Technical Comment:
The pair is rebounding. Daily chart is mixed as MACD is bullish, but stochastics is in bearish mode.  

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com