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AUD/CHF Wave Analysis for August 7,2012

2012-08-07 12:56:41 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/CHF Elliott Wave
For the last few days the AUD/CHF pair was trading in a downward move, developing corrective wave (2) (coloured green) of the bigger (5) wave (coloured orange). Yesterday during the early Asian session we could observe a descending movement towards the 1.0202 and we can consider this move as the end of the C wave of the bigger (2) wave. Therefore, during the European and New York sessions the AUD/CHF pair did not manage to hold this level and price reached a new daily high at 1.0292 level. At the moment, this currency pair was developing impulsive (3) wave and we are expecting to see the price around 1.0565 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0127-1.0345-1.0202) with Take Profit 1 at 1.0428 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.0565 (161.8% of wave 1). To reduce the risk, we can use Invalidation point at 1.0126 as Stop Loss. Also it is necessary to monitor the Swiss Foreign Currency Reserves and CPI m/m data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0153 (S2) 1.0188 (S1) 1.0210 (PP) 1.0245 (R1) 1.0280 (R2) 1.0302 (R3) 1.0337
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 1.0270 with Stop Loss 1.0126 Take Profit 1 1.0428 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0565 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com