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GbpChf Meets Resistance At 1.4950

2012-10-25 11:52:06 (читать в оригинале)

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

As we discussed yesterday, the single currency pair has fulfilled expectations of rising through the resistance area around 1.4950 region. As it was depicted above, this region is reinforced by the trend line resistance and also the past resistance turned support region. A reaction is expected around price range 1.4950/60. It is highly recommended to give respect to the bearish setup until the R1 is intact i.e. around 1.5050 as shown above. If a bearish setup is materialized here, expect 1.4700 to be the minimum downside target.

Trading Recommendations:

Short now (1.4950). Stop at 1.5100. Target at 1.4700.

Good Luck!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF: Intraday Support Around 0.9305

2012-10-25 11:48:45 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is trading in lower range. The rate is undermined by broadly weaker demand for safe-haven USD amid lower risk aversion.
Preference:
As USDCHF is trading in lower ranges, short position is recommended. The downside penetration of 0.9305 will call for a slide towards 0.9285 and 0.9827.
Support Level:
S1 - 0.9285
S2 - 0.9827
S3 - 0.9191 (May 8 low) 
Alternative scenario:
In case 0.9305 proves to be strong support, then buy above 0.9305 with 0.936 and 0.9375 in sight.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 0.9361 (Wednesday's high)  
R2 - 0.9371 (Oct. 15 high)
R3 - 0.9418 (Oct. 11 high)  
Technical Comment: 
Daily chart is mixed as MACD and stochastics are bullish; but bearish Doji Shooting Star candlestick pattern completed on Wednesday.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY: Further Advance

2012-10-25 11:43:26 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/JPY is trading with risks skewed higher. U.S. Federal Reserve as expected said it would keep its "exceptionally low" interest rates through mid-2015 and that it would continue buying $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities each month - in line with its September statement. USD/JPY is underpinned by demand from Japan importers and weak JPY sentiment on expectations for further monetary easing from Bank of Japan at its Oct. 30 meeting. USD/JPY is also supported by yen-funded carry trades amid diminished investor risk aversion (VIX fear gauge eased 2.66% to 18.33) on upbeat HSBC China October manufacturing PMI, although U.S. stocks closed lower (S&P down 0.31%) as Fed reiterated its concerns over U.S. economy. But USD/JPY upside is limited by Japan exporter sales; there are concerns about U.S. "fiscal cliff" that could throw the U.S. economy back into recession.
Preference:
As USPJPY is expected to trade in higher ranges, long position is recommended. Buy above 79.65 with 80.1 and 80.35 in sight.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 80.09 (Tuesday's high-July 5 high)
R2 - 80.35
R3 - 80.63 (June 25 high), then 81.78 (April 20 reaction high).  
Alternative scenario:
In case price moves below 79.65 the downside penetration of 79.65 will call for a slide towards 79.4 and 79.1.
Support Levels:
S1 - 79.4
S2 - 79.1
S3 - 78.91 (Oct. 18 low) 
Technical Comment:
The pair remains on the upside and is challenging its resistance. USD/JPY daily chart is positive-biased as MACD is bullish, stochastics stays elevated at overbought, and five-day moving average is above 15-day MA and rising.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 25, 2012

2012-10-25 11:33:47 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 1.5762                    R1: 1.5817

S2: 1.5704                    R2: 1.5854

S3: 1.5635                    R3: 1.5884

 

Technical Overview:  

 

With the break below 1.5906 a more complex correction was unfolding. Then it was a question if it was a minor complex correction to 1.5868 or we would break below important support at 1.5812 too. Looking on the chart it is clear that we have broken below 1.5811 too, which tells us that the wave ii correction from 1.5967 (the top of wave i) is still unfolding. With a b-wave high above the top of wave i we know that we should be looking for an expanded flat correction. In an expanded flat correction the c-leg should end just below the bottom of the a-leg of the correction, which means a break below 1.5701. The most likely target for the ongoing wave c of ii is at 1.5635.
However, in the short term we should see a minor rally towards 1.5854 and maybe even 1.5884 before the final decline towards 1.5635.

 

 

Trading Recommendation: 

You took profit on your long EUR-position from 1.5725 at 1.5900. As we are looking for a decline to 1.5636 you should sell EUR at 1.5850 with a 1.5930 stop and take profit + reverse your position to a long EUR-position at 1.5650.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY - Elliott Wave Analysis for October 25, 2012

2012-10-25 11:27:09 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels: 

S1: 103.59                   R1: 103.93

S2: 103.28                   R2: 104.09

S3: 102.98                   R3: 104.20

 

Technical Overview:

As it was expected we saw the decline from 104.59 having difficulties at the strong support at 103.15. However, we observed a small break below this support, which indicates that we saw indeed an important top at 104.59. From the top we have seen the first small impulsive (5 waves) decline to 103.28, which we have marked was wave i. Wave ii, which is an expanding flat correction, will likely reach resistance in the 104.10 - 104.20 area, here a powerful decline in wave iii should be seen. After an expanded flat correction the next wave up or down will be extending. Therefore, we should look for a very powerful and almost vertical decline in wave iii. It seems probable that 101.45 is target for wave iii down.

 

Trading Recommendation:

You should be short EUR from 104.50. Move you stop down from 105.50 to 104.65 leaving you with almost no risk. If you are not short EUR already sell EUR at 104.00 with the same stop.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com