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USD/CHF: Weekly Technical Levels for August 27 - 31, 2012

2012-08-26 10:22:17 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

Tip (s):

 

 

• R3 and S3 can be both regarded as clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through.
  
• Pivot lines can be applied well on the sideways markets, as prices will probably be located between R1 and S1 lines.
• Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and will continue the movement.
• In case of breaking news release that may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

Observation (s):

• If the trend is of an upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: USD is an uptrend and CHF is a downtrend.
• Fibonacci retracement uses to determine accurate psychology level of support and resistance, and playing according to in this kind of period.
• Fibonacci in a range trader (it is looks like the trend is trapping and going up or down, if you sell or buy for a long term in this period you'll go sure for losing your profit.
• Stop Loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.
• Usually the market has a high volatile, if the last day had a huge volatility.

 

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Weekly Analysis for August 24, 2012 (Weekly Strategy)

2012-08-24 18:33:05 (читать в оригинале)

 

The euro-dollar has overcome the psychological level of 1.25, recording a maximum at 1.2588; this optimism will not last long. In an uncertain environment like we have at this time, the U.S. dollar generally remain desirable. In addition, there is a real debate about whether the Fed made ​​some kind of monetary easing before the election. If that is the case, the interest rate differential will still remain relatively small.
As for the long term trend, it is certainly lower, the analysis in weekly chart shows that the euro is below the bearish secondary line. There may be a final rally to 1.2650, as these levels will reach the beginning of the bears, it has a strong downtrend. Any news and deficit in the euro zone will push down the pair.
Therefore, we recommend selling on the level of resistance 1.2650 with targets at the support near1.2100 weekly. This level will be a key monthly close below this level will result in a fall to the next support 1.18.
Regarding buying the euro, do not suggest doing until we're above the 1.27 level, and would rather lose a good business opportunity, rather than buying resistance.

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me, in the portal MT5.com, please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

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AUD/USD Bearish Outlook for August 24, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-08-24 18:15:04 (читать в оригинале)

 

The Australian dollar seems to lose its way and demonstrate a slowly upward movement in recent days. China, its main export market, showed some signs of slowing in recent months which pressed the pair down.
In the medium term, the pair has not yet lost its uptrend because this downward movement can be considered as a bullish correction. Our goal is at the level of the 200 day moving average periods. So there is a return to the 1.0445 resistance area, we recommend selling with targets 1.0288.
China is making up a new plan to stimulate its own economy. Nobody knows what will happen next but the Australian dollar will definitely benefit as it highly depends on the vagaries of the economic giant of Asia.

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me, in the portal MT5.com, please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

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Fundamental Analysis, for August 24, 2012

2012-08-24 18:08:27 (читать в оригинале)

 

German Chancellor Angela Merkel met with Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras in Berlin this morning. The outcome of this meeting will generate significant movements in the euro pairs. This time the currency rate suggests that investors are optimistic about the meeting. Both, Germany and France appear to have lost patience regarding the situation in Greece. Each country has its own reason: Greece spent more, driven by debt costs. Germany and its allies allowed such a thing; they have no other choice as to pay for this decision.
In fact, Germany may stop pressuring Greece with the support of France (Hollande quickly adapted to his office and put aside their utopias).
In Spain the issue passes whether Rajoy asks the European Union for a bailout (in which case his political capital will be reduced to a minimum) or if the European Union makes the governmental wear. As in the case of Greece, the states have more to gain than to lose in this fight. By the way, did the IMF forget that Chief Christine Lagarde said no to the euro in May if no action was taken during 3 months? It's August, ma'am, no action was taken, and the euro broke 1.25.
Indeed, the single currency remains firm at that level against the dollar, another unintended consequence for Southern Europe. No to Germany, of course, that dumps most of its sales abroad in the Eurozone.
It is true meeting with Samaras was of much importance. If you go back to your old study guides, none of them appears to demonstrate that a meeting between two prime ministers can generate so much noise in the markets. But everything changes, and fundamental analysis is turning to this type of event, irrelevant of the past.
For now, the euro does defend its rise in the last days, although it fell from 1.2587, the highest of the week, to the current 1.2505. Its tendency, ahead of the U.S. session, is bearish, although, as stated above, it will take a more definite direction after the meeting between Merkel and Samaras.
As for the British pound, the final weak UK GDP for the second quarter made it stumbling, but its short-term outlook looks firmer-up. The yen was unchanged, and currencies linked to oil weakened less than it was possible: a barrel of oil (other markets thermometer) fell more than two dollars a day earlier.
Finally, the Australian dollar seems to lose its way slowly upward in recent days against the gold position, which fixed in its highest since early April. Gold is a true symbol of the markets. It's a small market, but its existence is does not dependent emission as production does and its existence is not infinite. Follow the gold, and do not be surprised to see it above $ 2,000 per ounce even before the end year.

 

 

If you need  personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Fundamental analysis, please vote for me, at the portal MT5.com please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for August 24, 2012

2012-08-24 16:19:28 (читать в оригинале)

 

The GBP/USD pair demonstrated a strong bullish movement which was expected considering the movement channel expressed this week within which the pair was consolidating.
The GBP/USD pair has resumed its bullish movement recording a higher high this week at 1.5912 after breaking through 1.5750 reaching the upper limit of the depicted channel without expected bearish retracement.
The pair has an important intraday Resistance level located around 1.5910 which was tested yesterday corresponding to the upper limit of the movement channel which acted as a resistance of the bullish movement in the short term.
The lower limit of the movement channel as well as the significant Support level are located around the price level of 1.5750 where price action should be watched for a possible valid low risk BUY entry with SL located below 1.5700.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com